Limnic explosions are really bizarre and not very well understood, since there’s only been two confirmed and documented events in recent history (Lake Monoun and Lake Nyos, both in Cameroon, in 1984 and 1986 respectively), and it’s difficult to study an exploding lake for what should be obvious reasons.
What happens is this: gas emitted from the lakebed dissolves into the lower depths of the lake water, creating a supersaturated solution. Solutions consist of who components: the solvent, or the liquid which forms the bulk of the solution, and the solute, which is the material dissolved in the solute. A solution is undersaturated when the quantity of solvent can dissolve more solute than is currently in solution, saturated when the critical amount of solute is dissolved in the solvent and no more can be added to the solution, and supersaturated if, under some circumstance, more solute than can normally be dissolved in the solvent is present in the solution. A supersaturated solution is generally unstable, and if the solution is jarred or disturbed, the compound dissolved in the water will suddenly precipitate out, releasing a lot of energy and heat. While this is commonly demonstrated in high school chemistry class by dropping a crystal of salt into a large flask of supersaturated salt water, the same basic principle can apply to a lake, too.
Three things are needed for a limnic eruption to be even remotely possible:
- The lake must be tropical, so that it doesn’t overturn. Lakes in temperate regions (for example, the Great Lakes) overturn due to the seasonal fluctuation of the air temperature above the lake. As the air cools in winter, the surface water cools and sinks, pushing water from the depths up to replace it. This means that there is no consistent bottom layer of water that remains undisturbed for long periods of time.
- The lake must be deep and very stably stratified, so that there is a bottom layer of water that is not disturbed for a long period of time and doesn’t interact with the surface or sunlight.
- There must be a geophysical source of gas, usually CO2 or methane (CH4) at the bottom of the lake. This may be as a result of volcanic activity under the lake.
Without all three of these ingredients, a limnic explosion is not possible, because there is no way to create a supersaturated bottom layer. If the first is lacking, the bottom layer of water interacts with the upper layers, and the dissolved gas will dissipate. If the fluid is not strongly stratified, the gas will easily diffuse upwards and out of the bottom layer. If there is no source of gas, there is nothing to explode. Lake Nyos is a very deep crater lake, which sits on top of a dormant volcano. It’s surrounded by tall hills, which shields it from strong winds (which can help stir lakes). It’s a perfect candidate for a limnic explosion.
What’s still very unclear is how a limnic explosion is set off. Some scientists suspect a small earthquake jiggled the lake and set it off, while others think that there was a change in the stability of the lake. If the stability of the lake changed, the stratification could weaken and an overturning circulation could form, bringing the bottom water to the surface where the sudden change in pressure could cause the gas to rapidly expand (and thus explode out of the water). Some scientists think that for some reason a plume of light water formed at the bottom of the lake and entrained the bottom layer water as it rose to the surface (ie, the light water dragged the denser water up to the surface with it) . There’s a theory that an unusually severe thunderstorm the night before the explosion deposited a layer of cold water at the surface, which then caused an overturning circulation to form and the gas, again, to reach the surface and expand rapidly. Another idea is that the inflow from rivers was colder than usual. The precise mechanism is still unclear, especially since it’s difficult to accurately analyze what cause the explosion after the fact, and before the fact it was an otherwise unremarkable lake in remote Cameroon.
What is clear is that the bottom water with the extremely high concentration of CO2 reached the surface, and the change in pressure caused the dissolved CO2 to explode out of the water and into the surrounding atmosphere. Carbon dioxide is heavier than air, so when all the gas exploded out of the lake, it sank and hugged the ground, and ran through the valleys in the hills surrounding the lake. The high concentration of CO2 in the cloud from the explosion asphyxiated nearly 1800 people, some as far away as 20 km from the lake, and countless animals. The victims appeared to die peacefully; eyewitness accounts from survivors tell a tale of people falling suddenly or quickly into a coma and never awakening, or people who were asleep (the explosion occurred at around 10 pm) never waking up.
In the wake of the explosion, scientists devised a way to degas the lake to prevent CO2 from building up in the lake again and thus decreasing the potential for another explosion. They have installed a pipe and a pump that vents the bottom layer of saturated water to the surface, allowing the CO2 to bubble off at a continuous rate that allows it to dissipate before it can form a lethal cloud. A similar structure is installed in Lake Monoun, though since the lake is smaller less pipes are needed. I’ve had a surprising amount of difficulty finding current information about the state of these degassing projects, unfortunately, and it’s unclear to me whether the projects were ever finished or if they’re still in operation.
Lake Kivu, which sits between the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda, is the only other known lake that is at risk for a limnic explosion. Lake Kivu is about 2,000 times larger than Lake Nyos, and is not nearly as remote — about 2 million people live near its shores. Lake Kivu contains not only CO2, but also high concentrations of methane (CH4), which has lead to some engineering projects which attempt to retrieve the methane for use as fuel. This is doubly useful in that in the process of extracting the methane, some CO2 is also extracted. Fortunately, the gas concentrations in Lake Kivu are not nearly as high as those in Lake Nyos, and so it is probably less likely to explode, but the consequences (and death toll) from a limnic explosion at Lake Kivu are likely to be several orders of magnitude higher than from previous confirmed explosions. Considering that the effect of extracting the methane may not be enough to offset the natural build-up of gas, and also that the scientific community still knows very little about limnic explosions and what triggers them, Lake Kivu is possibly a ticking bomb.